I recently read an article about Pastor Josh Howerton , who preached a “provocative” sermon in February called “3 Things That Will Kill Your Marriage.” In the process, he laid out some sociological statistics and a challenge. He later said, “What’s amazing is I love when sociology is always discovering what theology was already saying.”
One of the stats Howerton mentioned is that you’re 46% less likely to commit adultery if you believe in the infallible, inerrant Word of God. Another is that active conservative Protestants who attend church together regularly are 35% less likely to get divorced. He then challenged his congregation: “If you’re living with somebody that’s not your spouse, you’re sleeping with somebody that’s not your spouse, or you’ve actually already started a family and had kids with somebody that’s not your spouse, and you right now are coming under the loving conviction of the Holy Spirit that you need to honor God, bend your knee to Jesus.” He then added: “Put a ring on it and enter into a covenant with a person that you’re already acting like you’re in a covenant with.” Less than a month later, 52 couples did just that in a joint ceremony and celebration, witnessed–and cheered on–by more than a thousand people from the congregation.
This story brought great joy to my heart, and as I reflected on it, I realized it starts with the courage that Josh Howerton exhibited in preaching this kind of sermon. My family and I used to be part of a church whose leadership, over time, became less and less willing to preach about specific sins, especially of the sexual kind. In sharp contrast, the Lord honored Josh Howerton’s courage and used him to bring 52 sexually-involved couples to repentance, culminating in their tying the knot a couple weeks later.
If you’ve been reading my blog for a while, you know that I like to do research related to sociological trends, including the kind that Josh Howerton laid out in his recent sermon. I think it’s especially instructive to compare changes in stats over a generation or more. In this case, I looked up some stats related to cohabiting, which Howerton referred to. First of all, a definition: cohabiting means living together and having a sexual relationship without being married; when I was growing up in the 1960s and 1970s, this was called “shacking up.” Here are some stats related specifically to people aged 18 to 44:
- In 2002, 54% had ever cohabited, while 60% had ever been married.
- In 2019, 59% had ever cohabited, while 50% had ever been married.
Here are some more stats related to cohabiting vs. marrying, but not specific to any age group:
- In 1996, cohabiting couples were 3.7% of the U.S. population, while married couples were 55.9%.
- In 2023, cohabiting couples were 9.1% of the U.S. population, while married couples were 46.4%.
These stats are enough to show that cohabitation has been sharply on the rise since 1996, while marriage has significantly declined; in addition, whereas in 2002, more people had ever been married than had ever cohabited, that had reversed a generation later. A caveat: “ever been married” is not necessarily a positive sign; the American divorce rate is still high.
One might ask why these stats related to cohabitation are important. Here’s why: Studies indicate a 33% to 50% higher chance of divorce for those who lived together before marriage, particularly if they cohabited before becoming engaged. In other words, if you want to have a better chance of going the distance as a married couple, don’t live together before marriage. Along those lines, there are some other stats that encourage not living together until marriage. Couples reporting that things in their marriage are going fairly well or very well:
- Cohabiting couples: 47% fairly well, 41% very well
- Married couples: 37% fairly well, 58% very well
Notice that married couples are significantly more likely than cohabiting couples to have a positive view of how their marriage is going; this is especially obvious in the difference in those who responded “very well.” Some of the specifics cited by these couples include 1) the way household chores are divided between them and their spouse or partner; 2) how well their spouse or partner balances work and personal life; 3) how well they and their spouse or partner communicate; 4) their spouse’s or partner’s approach to parenting (among those with children younger than 18 in the household).
Here’s a list that should encourage couples to wait until marriage to live together. Married couples are more likely than cohabiting couples to have a great deal of trust in their spouse or partner to
- be faithful to them;
- act in their best interest;
- always tell them the truth;
- handle money responsibly.
When it comes to marriage, there are no guarantees, of course; there are plenty of couples who never cohabited but who divorced anyway. Even long-married couples who did not cohabit before marriage have gotten divorced when they became empty-nesters, for example. And even Christian couples don’t always go the distance.
However, these caveats don’t diminish what the stats indicate: If you don’t cohabit before marriage, you are significantly more likely to experience more marital satisfaction, and you and your spouse are more likely to stay together. In addition, as Josh Howerton brought out, if you believe in the infallible Word of God and you attend church regularly together, your marriage is significantly more likely to last a lifetime.
I feel very blessed to still be married after 37+ years. I believe that regardless of what stage of life you’re at, if you choose to get married, you can also experience marital satisfaction and go the distance. If you’re reading this and you don’t know the Lord, I pray that will change someday.
